Thursday, October 27, 2011

Wintry Weather Possible for the Foothills and Mountains Tomorrow Night

Last day of Warmth
A cold front will push through the region overnight and tomorrow and cause temperatures to plummet.  Highs tomorrow for many Piedmont areas will not reach the low 50's.  Lows Friday night will be a little warmer as the clouds will act as a blanket to us.  However, our first sub-freezing temperature of the year is likely to occur Saturday Night.

Snow Chances for Tomorrow Night
I figured I would let you know that some forecast models are indicating the chance at some wintry precip. in a few NC counties.  It looks like the snow would mix in sometime tomorrow evening and tomorrow night if it does indeed happen.  The counties that have the best chance at this novelty are Ashe, Watauga, Alleghany, Surry, Wilkes, and Yadkin.  This is the first time this season that wintry weather has threatened areas outside the mountains and remember, it is only the 27th of October.  There are many more weeks of wintry fun ahead.

Winter Forecast
I am currently working on my winter forecast and should have it ready by Friday afternoon.  My analog years for this forecast are 50-51, 55-56, 71-72, 74-75, 75-76, 82-83, 99-00, 00-01, and 08-09.

Sunday, October 16, 2011

Interesting to See This Early in the Season

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Taken verbatim this particular run(18z GFS) puts down 2-5" of snow in Western NC. Not going to happen, but interesting to see.