Wednesday, February 9, 2011

My Gut Tells Me Otherwise....

I'm hesitant to type this, because I more than likely will get burned with this forecast. My gut has been telling me since Sunday that this was going to be a little bigger than expected. I've not had too much time to analyze data and track radar this morning, but what I did notice is that, from what I saw, this storm is tracking a little farther North that expected and is a tad bit stronger. We'll see. I'll try to do an afternoon post, but until then...Have a great day and God Bless You!!

Saturday, February 5, 2011

Update on This Upcoming Week's Snow Potential

I'll try to cut a video Monday morning if hope is still alive for the storm. Cross your fingers. Typical of this time period, GFS has backed off the snow potential considerably. It still has snow, but very light. The Euro has hopped on board with the wintry scenario with the 12z run and 00z run. The past runs of the Euro have trended eastward towards the original GFS solution. That's good. Let's hope the trend holds. I've said countless times this winter that the GFS is the model of choice from 6-14 days, then the Euro from 2-5 days, and then it's kind of wait and see with all the models. Hopefully, we'll have better agreement between the models by early next week. However, with this winter's track record, it's likely that we don't see agreement until Tuesday night or Wednesday. I want to note that all models (GFS, Euro, and Canadian) point to some light snow Monday night. Looks to be only a dusting, if that, but it's something to keep an eye on. Long-lead indicators point to a warm-up after Valentine's Day, so this may be our last chance at wintry precip. this winter, unless something pops up late month or early march.

Updates throughout the week. Thanks for reading, have a good day, and God Bless You!!

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Next Week....

Just updating you to let you know that we may have to deal with some sort of wintry weather middle of next week. Also, it appears that cold will make a return for at least a couple days after that.

Thanks for viewing, have a good night, and God Bless!