Saturday, February 5, 2011

Update on This Upcoming Week's Snow Potential

I'll try to cut a video Monday morning if hope is still alive for the storm. Cross your fingers. Typical of this time period, GFS has backed off the snow potential considerably. It still has snow, but very light. The Euro has hopped on board with the wintry scenario with the 12z run and 00z run. The past runs of the Euro have trended eastward towards the original GFS solution. That's good. Let's hope the trend holds. I've said countless times this winter that the GFS is the model of choice from 6-14 days, then the Euro from 2-5 days, and then it's kind of wait and see with all the models. Hopefully, we'll have better agreement between the models by early next week. However, with this winter's track record, it's likely that we don't see agreement until Tuesday night or Wednesday. I want to note that all models (GFS, Euro, and Canadian) point to some light snow Monday night. Looks to be only a dusting, if that, but it's something to keep an eye on. Long-lead indicators point to a warm-up after Valentine's Day, so this may be our last chance at wintry precip. this winter, unless something pops up late month or early march.

Updates throughout the week. Thanks for reading, have a good day, and God Bless You!!

No comments: